h1techSlave
06-12 12:15 PM
One big missing piece in your analysis - Country quota.
As per your analysis, there are around 125K pending cases. If there is no spill over (that is the case this year and that will be the case for the coming years as per State dept.), then EB3-I or EB2-I gets only 2700 visas per year.
Now, please redo your math and you can easily see that the current retrogress might look like there is hardly any retrogression.
This is my thought process (also referred by Ron G):
July 2007 brought in approximately 500K 485 cases.
We do not know how many cases were pending as of June 2007.
Fiscal year 2007-2008 USCIS used over 140K EB VISA numbers (I think it was around 155K).
Fiscal year 2008-2009 USCIS will use atleast 140K EB VISA numbers
so, 500K - 300K = 200K.
Assuming USICS approval rate is 85%; 75K of 500K are denied.
200K - 75K = 125K EB cases pending from the July 2007 cases.
Additions: from all current categories - may be 25 K in 2 years?
So, 150 K plus whatever that was pending as of June 2007.
So next fiscal year, 2009 if USCIS uses the quota 140 K, most or all of the 2007 filings will be cleared. If not EB3 I, definitely EB2 I and C, EB3 ROW will be cleared.
Depending on new filings, EB3 I might retrogress but retrogression might come within 3-4 years instead of current 8 years.
I strongly believe, beginning Jan 2010, dates for EB2 (I and C) will move forward heaps and bounds followed by EB3 ROW.
As per your analysis, there are around 125K pending cases. If there is no spill over (that is the case this year and that will be the case for the coming years as per State dept.), then EB3-I or EB2-I gets only 2700 visas per year.
Now, please redo your math and you can easily see that the current retrogress might look like there is hardly any retrogression.
This is my thought process (also referred by Ron G):
July 2007 brought in approximately 500K 485 cases.
We do not know how many cases were pending as of June 2007.
Fiscal year 2007-2008 USCIS used over 140K EB VISA numbers (I think it was around 155K).
Fiscal year 2008-2009 USCIS will use atleast 140K EB VISA numbers
so, 500K - 300K = 200K.
Assuming USICS approval rate is 85%; 75K of 500K are denied.
200K - 75K = 125K EB cases pending from the July 2007 cases.
Additions: from all current categories - may be 25 K in 2 years?
So, 150 K plus whatever that was pending as of June 2007.
So next fiscal year, 2009 if USCIS uses the quota 140 K, most or all of the 2007 filings will be cleared. If not EB3 I, definitely EB2 I and C, EB3 ROW will be cleared.
Depending on new filings, EB3 I might retrogress but retrogression might come within 3-4 years instead of current 8 years.
I strongly believe, beginning Jan 2010, dates for EB2 (I and C) will move forward heaps and bounds followed by EB3 ROW.
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DallasBlue
09-08 12:53 AM
Trust me my friend, I have seen it happen all the time, from large Telecom firm to Govt., its always there, most of the consultants just doesn't come to know about it, but the cut for the managers is there in some form, almost always. Why do each manager has a specific vendor through whom they want to hire most of the time? What else is the reason for the client to pay the consulting company $180/hr but they won't give 'valueablehurdle' anything more than $50-60/hr?
On a different note, now that NSG approved the waiver, most desi uncles, some of them are also owners of desi consulting companies will claim that they are the father of Nuclear deal. These bastards (sorry for my french) always oppose any GC fix and they tell their favorite congressman/senator (each has atleast one favorite politician for whom they do fund raisers) that gc backlog is not an important issue for the community. India Abroad, Times of India, rediff and other desi portals/newspapers will write 'Oliver North' style stories about these desi uncles knowing well that companies like GE etc put their weight behind the deal as it will create commerce to commerce over $20 billion/yr. But desi uncles/orgs will not stop claiming to be the father of nuclear deal. The fact is, most of these desi uncles made noise not because they wanted to do something for their country of birth, they are doing it because they think that if the nuclear deal passes, they can play middle man for US companies to sell the technology/material to Indian companies/govt. Most of the so called 'united voice of Indian-Americans on the Hill' organization's goal is to make big bucks by playing 'middle man' for companies wanting to sell technology to India. And as always, just as 'valuablehurdle''s client (paying $180/hr) Indian govt. will pay double the cost. These desi companies have squeezed blood of people waiting for gc, but now they think its time to move on to play big game with the big boys. These desi uncles/orgs are going nuclear.... time for Rediff and India Abroad to play Oliver North. Sometimes the line between capitalism and cycle of corruption is extremely blur. The problem is, these desi uncles/orgs claim to be representatives of entire Indian-American community, sometimes the entire immigrant community. They don't know more than 100 people, but they claim to be the leaders of all 2.5 million indian americans. Sorry for my french, but these bastards are the owners of desi consulting firms who have done a lot of harm to many communities.
I think IV should compete openly with USINPAC which realistically doesnt have any grassroots support.
http://www.usinpac.com/immigration.asp , guess they amended the last paragraph just this month... and still they dont support/raise the EB based greencard issues...
On a different note, now that NSG approved the waiver, most desi uncles, some of them are also owners of desi consulting companies will claim that they are the father of Nuclear deal. These bastards (sorry for my french) always oppose any GC fix and they tell their favorite congressman/senator (each has atleast one favorite politician for whom they do fund raisers) that gc backlog is not an important issue for the community. India Abroad, Times of India, rediff and other desi portals/newspapers will write 'Oliver North' style stories about these desi uncles knowing well that companies like GE etc put their weight behind the deal as it will create commerce to commerce over $20 billion/yr. But desi uncles/orgs will not stop claiming to be the father of nuclear deal. The fact is, most of these desi uncles made noise not because they wanted to do something for their country of birth, they are doing it because they think that if the nuclear deal passes, they can play middle man for US companies to sell the technology/material to Indian companies/govt. Most of the so called 'united voice of Indian-Americans on the Hill' organization's goal is to make big bucks by playing 'middle man' for companies wanting to sell technology to India. And as always, just as 'valuablehurdle''s client (paying $180/hr) Indian govt. will pay double the cost. These desi companies have squeezed blood of people waiting for gc, but now they think its time to move on to play big game with the big boys. These desi uncles/orgs are going nuclear.... time for Rediff and India Abroad to play Oliver North. Sometimes the line between capitalism and cycle of corruption is extremely blur. The problem is, these desi uncles/orgs claim to be representatives of entire Indian-American community, sometimes the entire immigrant community. They don't know more than 100 people, but they claim to be the leaders of all 2.5 million indian americans. Sorry for my french, but these bastards are the owners of desi consulting firms who have done a lot of harm to many communities.
I think IV should compete openly with USINPAC which realistically doesnt have any grassroots support.
http://www.usinpac.com/immigration.asp , guess they amended the last paragraph just this month... and still they dont support/raise the EB based greencard issues...
mrdelhiite
07-13 09:03 PM
well here is 14th -
-M
-M
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vsbalaji
05-24 09:22 PM
Guys,
We need a volunteer from the NY 12th Congressional district to participate in the lobby day in Washington DC. This district covers parts of Manhattan, Queens, and Brooklyn.
Please use The U.S. House of Representatives - Determinig Your Representative (http://www.house.gov/zip/ZIP2Rep.html) to find out your district and also your representative.
This is very important. You can contact the tristate chapter representative or you can PM me here.
Thanks
Bala
We need a volunteer from the NY 12th Congressional district to participate in the lobby day in Washington DC. This district covers parts of Manhattan, Queens, and Brooklyn.
Please use The U.S. House of Representatives - Determinig Your Representative (http://www.house.gov/zip/ZIP2Rep.html) to find out your district and also your representative.
This is very important. You can contact the tristate chapter representative or you can PM me here.
Thanks
Bala
more...
485Mbe4001
10-12 02:11 PM
sent an email to all the addresses mentioned in this thread..thanks
GCNirvana007
04-08 03:00 PM
EB3 became unavailable, EB2 no movement.
I am planning to create a new USCIS hate club. Members????
:p
I am planning to create a new USCIS hate club. Members????
:p
more...
go_guy123
04-20 08:07 PM
But, more seriously thinking, isn't Mexico also one of the backlogged EB countries? I doubt they will mind having a provision for us while they do their campaign. Perhaps we really ought to join hands with them so our objects can get more widespread support .. just an idea
Mexico is lobbying for all out amnesty. Their backlog is far lesser .
Mexico is lobbying for all out amnesty. Their backlog is far lesser .
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svn
04-05 12:44 PM
All,
The object of this thread is straightforward - it is to understand if you as a donor member will contribute more $ (or start contributing!) if you get more regular information updates (weekly?) from Core? I know there was a funding drive in March which led to us meeting the goal of $10,000 (and then some). However, while there has been a new goal of $10,000 created for April, we have made little progress towards that. As someone who contributed $100 the first time round in March, but haven't yet made a contribution towards the April funding drive, I can admit that one of the primary reasons for this is because there has been very limited information shared since then. While I COMPLETELY trust in the fact that the Core team is making every effort humanly possible to further our cause, I am also a member of the human race that by nature seeks information and looks for leadership to be more sharing about progress. I personally believe transparency is a key enabler not just to gaining participation and building momentum, but also to creating innovative solutions to problems by engaging more individuals in the process (borrowing this "leaf" from President's Obama's playbook will be highly beneficial to our casuse)
Let me clarify this is NOT an indication of lack of trust in Core NOR do I believe that there isn't a sincere effort being put in by a whole bunch of dedicated individuals. However, my suggestion is simply an idea to further the cause - would definitely like to hear how the rest of this immigration community feels!
Thanks for your participation in this poll.
Cheers
P.S: Just to be clear, I am referring to Regular Updates to DONORS i.e CONTRIBUTING MEMBERS
The object of this thread is straightforward - it is to understand if you as a donor member will contribute more $ (or start contributing!) if you get more regular information updates (weekly?) from Core? I know there was a funding drive in March which led to us meeting the goal of $10,000 (and then some). However, while there has been a new goal of $10,000 created for April, we have made little progress towards that. As someone who contributed $100 the first time round in March, but haven't yet made a contribution towards the April funding drive, I can admit that one of the primary reasons for this is because there has been very limited information shared since then. While I COMPLETELY trust in the fact that the Core team is making every effort humanly possible to further our cause, I am also a member of the human race that by nature seeks information and looks for leadership to be more sharing about progress. I personally believe transparency is a key enabler not just to gaining participation and building momentum, but also to creating innovative solutions to problems by engaging more individuals in the process (borrowing this "leaf" from President's Obama's playbook will be highly beneficial to our casuse)
Let me clarify this is NOT an indication of lack of trust in Core NOR do I believe that there isn't a sincere effort being put in by a whole bunch of dedicated individuals. However, my suggestion is simply an idea to further the cause - would definitely like to hear how the rest of this immigration community feels!
Thanks for your participation in this poll.
Cheers
P.S: Just to be clear, I am referring to Regular Updates to DONORS i.e CONTRIBUTING MEMBERS
more...
DDLMODES
07-06 10:10 AM
Hey guys,
I have a question to all of you...
AILA prepares the lawsuit and some (probably most) of the lawyers are supporting that.
For several days I keep hearing that WHEN you file (in July) is not important and I am wondering how that could be true...
I understand that the people who filed on July 2nd are beneficiaries of this but in my mind, everybody who files after falls under a different category because technically they would file after the revised bulletin was announced therefore have no argument. I understand that everybody else prepared (legal fees, medical exam and so on) and they are affected even if they didn't file but I am wondering how that can be justification enough after the dates (retrogression) were announced.
I am trying to understand why they say that it does not matter when you file. They need more people to back this up or is just so they can justify billing you for their work...
Is just scary, how many people play with our hopes and I need to understand if this is just to serve somebody's interests or it is what it is .
Please post your 2 cents ...
Thanks !
I have a question to all of you...
AILA prepares the lawsuit and some (probably most) of the lawyers are supporting that.
For several days I keep hearing that WHEN you file (in July) is not important and I am wondering how that could be true...
I understand that the people who filed on July 2nd are beneficiaries of this but in my mind, everybody who files after falls under a different category because technically they would file after the revised bulletin was announced therefore have no argument. I understand that everybody else prepared (legal fees, medical exam and so on) and they are affected even if they didn't file but I am wondering how that can be justification enough after the dates (retrogression) were announced.
I am trying to understand why they say that it does not matter when you file. They need more people to back this up or is just so they can justify billing you for their work...
Is just scary, how many people play with our hopes and I need to understand if this is just to serve somebody's interests or it is what it is .
Please post your 2 cents ...
Thanks !
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anilsal
11-08 09:57 AM
hey friends,
I saw that Logiclife mentioned that the head will be from michigan. I am from michigan and a lot of my buddies also visit this site regularly. Let us know if we can make a difference. Please let us know what can we do to help our cause here. I am ready to drive, meet, talk to any one I can to push things here. I dont know how much of an impact that would be, but even a little can help.
thanks
Please pm me with any suggestions or ideas.
Hey start a local chapter of IV in MI such that other volunteers in future also can join and work from under the same umbrella.
I saw that Logiclife mentioned that the head will be from michigan. I am from michigan and a lot of my buddies also visit this site regularly. Let us know if we can make a difference. Please let us know what can we do to help our cause here. I am ready to drive, meet, talk to any one I can to push things here. I dont know how much of an impact that would be, but even a little can help.
thanks
Please pm me with any suggestions or ideas.
Hey start a local chapter of IV in MI such that other volunteers in future also can join and work from under the same umbrella.
more...
belmontboy
04-21 02:49 PM
GC people is closer to citizenship and closer to get this permission.
Visa is not permanent.
Permission again???
LOL
Visa is not permanent.
Permission again???
LOL
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needhelp!
05-07 12:39 PM
---- S wrote:
Hehe.. I agree.. so I decided not to put my head under
any of those caps ;)
--- G wrote:
> K,
>
> Coming to think of it, with all that we are going in
> the US, with H-1B caps, with Green Card country
> caps, > I think staying back in the US, is nothing short of
> bold either..;)..j/k..
>
------- K wrote:
>
> Bold decision, S. Good luck with all your
> future
> endeavors!
>
> K
>
> --- On Sun, 5/4/08, S
>
>
> Hey guys,
>
> I am glad to inform you that we are moving back to
> India this month. I have accepted an offer with <xyzMultinational>
> India Development Center in Hyderabad. Just few days remaining now, so getting very busy winding things up... It's a very exciting time!! :)
>
> Cheers,
> S
Hehe.. I agree.. so I decided not to put my head under
any of those caps ;)
--- G wrote:
> K,
>
> Coming to think of it, with all that we are going in
> the US, with H-1B caps, with Green Card country
> caps, > I think staying back in the US, is nothing short of
> bold either..;)..j/k..
>
------- K wrote:
>
> Bold decision, S. Good luck with all your
> future
> endeavors!
>
> K
>
> --- On Sun, 5/4/08, S
>
>
> Hey guys,
>
> I am glad to inform you that we are moving back to
> India this month. I have accepted an offer with <xyzMultinational>
> India Development Center in Hyderabad. Just few days remaining now, so getting very busy winding things up... It's a very exciting time!! :)
>
> Cheers,
> S
more...
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vineet
08-12 01:14 PM
vishwak,
I just got off the call from uscis regarding my I-485. My PD is in the first week of Mar 2006.
Per the USCIS website, they are suppose to process even the first week of Mar 2006 although the Aug VB says it is 01MAR06. I spoke to the second level IO and he was confident that my case would have to wait for the next month. I insisted that the uscis website says otherways, he went and verified with the third level (or his peer) and came back and told me that I was correct.
Infact told me that my case was pre-adjd and being reviewed by IO currently.
I am sure the same applies to you with the Sep VB. Good luck !!!
Note: This is not a legal advice and don't quote me on it.
Cool...This gives me some hope that my PD of May 8th will also be considered current from Sep 1.
I just got off the call from uscis regarding my I-485. My PD is in the first week of Mar 2006.
Per the USCIS website, they are suppose to process even the first week of Mar 2006 although the Aug VB says it is 01MAR06. I spoke to the second level IO and he was confident that my case would have to wait for the next month. I insisted that the uscis website says otherways, he went and verified with the third level (or his peer) and came back and told me that I was correct.
Infact told me that my case was pre-adjd and being reviewed by IO currently.
I am sure the same applies to you with the Sep VB. Good luck !!!
Note: This is not a legal advice and don't quote me on it.
Cool...This gives me some hope that my PD of May 8th will also be considered current from Sep 1.
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GCBy3000
05-28 06:59 PM
Simple. COntribute to IV and work as a team. Are you ready?
This is so outrageous! :mad:
What can legals do then to change the situation? :confused:
This is so outrageous! :mad:
What can legals do then to change the situation? :confused:
more...
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miththoo
11-07 02:01 PM
Does any of you trade in Indian shares? If so, did you have to open the PIS NRE account to do trading in Indian shares ? I heard that NRI from USA can not use the normal demat account to do the trading in secondary market in India.
Thanks,
Miththoo
Thanks,
Miththoo
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BharatPremi
09-20 05:46 PM
Not entirely true, I switched job a couple of months ago - filed for AC21. I got an acknowledgment from USCIS for the same - stating that it will be added to my file, to be reviewed when my application is processed.
Then you are a special case to USCIS. In my whole "GC career", you are the first case I am hearing about having AC21 related notification from USCIS.
Chandu's comments are entirely truthful and your case is the special one as USCIS really does not have any sysem to account or to notify related with AC21 usage.
Then you are a special case to USCIS. In my whole "GC career", you are the first case I am hearing about having AC21 related notification from USCIS.
Chandu's comments are entirely truthful and your case is the special one as USCIS really does not have any sysem to account or to notify related with AC21 usage.
more...
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ganip
03-18 04:01 PM
Did anyone of you use AP to come back and the name is not correct, i have a situation where my
middle name is missing one alphabet and i am worried if that would be an issue while coming back from India.
middle name is missing one alphabet and i am worried if that would be an issue while coming back from India.
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gc_chahiye
08-05 02:25 PM
One of my friend asked Shiela Murthy and she said that in order to be able to add my spouse , I would have HAD to get married before July 31st (which I couldn't anyway), because, then, only I/we will be eligible to add my spouse.
Also, I sent in the papers for my I-485 last night. Now, hoping to god that there is an RFE on this and some kind of delay.
Thank you,
gc101.
double-check that note from Sheela Murthy (take an appointment with either her, or Rajiv Khanna). You have to get married before your 485 is approved, dont know whats that July 31st date. Good thing you filed your 485 atleast. You can add your spouse only when your PD is current, but you can atleast use AC21 in the meantime (for changing employers etc).
http://www.murthy.com/news/UDmar485.html
To summarize the INS position, as long as the principal applicant gets married prior to the INS' approving the I-485 application, there should be no problem for the dependent/s to either file the Adjustment of Status, if in the U.S., or to "follow to join," based upon a consular interview abroad. Therefore, the principal can file the Adjustment of Status application prior to marriage, but the marriage needs to take place before INS makes its decision on the I-485 application.
Also, I sent in the papers for my I-485 last night. Now, hoping to god that there is an RFE on this and some kind of delay.
Thank you,
gc101.
double-check that note from Sheela Murthy (take an appointment with either her, or Rajiv Khanna). You have to get married before your 485 is approved, dont know whats that July 31st date. Good thing you filed your 485 atleast. You can add your spouse only when your PD is current, but you can atleast use AC21 in the meantime (for changing employers etc).
http://www.murthy.com/news/UDmar485.html
To summarize the INS position, as long as the principal applicant gets married prior to the INS' approving the I-485 application, there should be no problem for the dependent/s to either file the Adjustment of Status, if in the U.S., or to "follow to join," based upon a consular interview abroad. Therefore, the principal can file the Adjustment of Status application prior to marriage, but the marriage needs to take place before INS makes its decision on the I-485 application.
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miguy
06-18 03:37 PM
thanks for your replies desi3933........is there any way one one can apply for H4 extension/stamping at the consulate based on the receipt of the H1b extension filing ?
sandeep_1
08-18 02:11 PM
If you read through the forums, there are few suggestions.
a) Call USCIS and submit a service request to expedite the process.
b) Fax NSC with a request to expedite the process based on humanitarian ground.
c) Wait.
Called USCIS on friday and asked them to expedite since i can lose by job. current ead expires on sept 5 th and filed renewal on june 24th. I see so many cases getting approved with much later dates.
Any sugestions on what steps to follow?
my company won't let me work even 1 day after ead expiration
a) Call USCIS and submit a service request to expedite the process.
b) Fax NSC with a request to expedite the process based on humanitarian ground.
c) Wait.
Called USCIS on friday and asked them to expedite since i can lose by job. current ead expires on sept 5 th and filed renewal on june 24th. I see so many cases getting approved with much later dates.
Any sugestions on what steps to follow?
my company won't let me work even 1 day after ead expiration
Jaime
09-22 10:23 PM
Why don't we mail copies of our degree certificates, diplomas and other credentials? They will know who is more educated..Lou Dobbs or us !!!
GREAT idea! We should xerox our educational degrees and use them to wrap the stoppers, and then we should mail that to the law-makers
We can include the "Reverse Brain Drain book" with many stries of people wh have already left or have decided to leave
Keep the ideas coming guys! These are great and will make a statement! (if we decide to do it)
GREAT idea! We should xerox our educational degrees and use them to wrap the stoppers, and then we should mail that to the law-makers
We can include the "Reverse Brain Drain book" with many stries of people wh have already left or have decided to leave
Keep the ideas coming guys! These are great and will make a statement! (if we decide to do it)
